Re: Promotion discussion thread

by deadbuzzardalive Fri Feb 02, 2018 9:59 pm

Bristol City losing to Bolton is a good result for us, if we can just beat Burton then we will be five points ahead of them. Fingers crossed we're in the top two this time tomorrow.

by **De Kuip** Sat Feb 03, 2018 7:52 am

I didn't realise they played last night and what a result!!
Really need Derbeh and Cardiff to hit a rocky patch as well.

by **De Kuip** Sat Feb 03, 2018 7:57 am

Derby have Brentford, Norwich, Wednesday and Leeds- all awkward mid to upper half teams that could go either way.
Cardiff have Leeds , Millwall, Bolton and Boro so 3 similar teams to Derby's fixtures and up to last night I'd have said a banker to Bolton but they are putting a run together so who knows.

by andrew24561 Sat Feb 03, 2018 11:10 am

one game at a time boys, lets just take it one game at a time,
que sera sera.

by AstonThriller Sat Feb 03, 2018 7:42 pm

Apart from Sheff U and Boro losing, it's been a terrible day tbh. Today we had the advantage over everyone else as far as the fixtures were concerned, and though we won, we just didn't make a dent anywhere. Oh well I guess there's always next week. Win that and then it sets up a blockbuster at Fulham the week after.

by **De Kuip** Sat Feb 03, 2018 8:02 pm

AstonThriller wrote:Apart from Sheff U and Boro losing, it's been a terrible day tbh. Today we had the advantage over everyone else as far as the fixtures were concerned, and though we won, we just didn't make a dent anywhere. Oh well I guess there's always next week. Win that and then it sets up a blockbuster at Fulham the week after.

Agree.
As I said in one of the threads earlier, today changed very rapidly from making a dent to not losing ground. We didn't, and winning is a habit. I'll be happy to get through the next home game - hosting those knuckle draggers is like being forced to have sex with some gopping skanky 50 year old dockside hooker on your best bedsheets. Something to ensure and you hope you come out clean at the end of it.

by deadbuzzardalive Sat Feb 03, 2018 8:53 pm

At least we've widened the gap between ourselves and seventh to eight points, effectively nine points when you consider goal difference, so have quite a cushion now in the play-off places. It is a bit dispiriting though to see that Derby and Cardiff both, have been dropping points recently and we've won six in a row, yet we're still not in the top two.

by The Utterer Sun Feb 04, 2018 5:59 am

We need to repeat the feat again i reckon to get a good hold on 2nd, another 6 wins in a row but it's a big ask obviously. We somehow have to get there and create a gap to demoralise some of those teams around us.

Next two are huge!

by **De Kuip** Sun Feb 04, 2018 8:27 am

The Utterer wrote:We need to repeat the feat again i reckon to get a good hold on 2nd, another 6 wins in a row but it's a big ask obviously. We somehow have to get there and create a gap to demoralise some of those teams around us.

Next two are huge!

I know people have said take one game at a time and of course that is the best way. If however, I were to speculate on a month by month basis, looking at the fixtures for feb/march/April I'd say if we can maintain our relative position by end of Feb we'll have done well. March is absolutely the month where we should make up ground as apart from Wolves all fixtures should be winnable. If there's a month that could end up defining our season it has to be April, as we have Derby and Cardiff at home. If we've got things right in the previous 2 months, beating those two could well see us in second with only ourselves to blame if we then slip up thereafter.
As I said this is just idle Sunday morning speculation and the number one immediate priority is sending the mongs back to B9 with the taunts of the Villa fans ringing in their ears after getting thumped by Grealish and co.

by Saunders82 Sun Feb 04, 2018 1:07 pm

Personally I don't look further ahead than the next game, win that & then the next & so on
( Or draw if we have to) till the fat lady sings and bingo bring on the Prem. Bye

by deadbuzzardalive Tue Feb 06, 2018 6:40 pm

Just realised there's only 48 points to play for, it seems a lot but even if we were to win every match that would put us on 104 points, usually a points haul in the late 80's early 90's is what's needed for second place; I guess we need another 12 wins out of the remaining 16 fixtures at least, maybe 13, so we can't really afford many slip ups at all.

Four games in just a fortnight coming up, which really could make or break our season, need to keep the running going starting on Sunday.

by achilles Tue Feb 06, 2018 7:52 pm

Yes, it just makes you realise what you have to do to get out of this league, you really can't afford any bad run of results.

by AstonThriller Wed Feb 07, 2018 6:36 pm

Just saw THIS article from a Derby perspective and it lists the next five games for some of the teams involved in the fight.

Wolves

QPR at home
Preston away
Norwich at home
Fulham away
Reading at home

Derby

Norwich at home
Wednesday away
Leeds at home
Reading away
Fulham at home

Villa

Birmingham at home
Fulham away
Preston at home
Wednesday away
QPR at home

Cardiff

Millwall away
Bolton at home
Boro at home
Ipswich away
Bristol at home

Fulham

Bolton away
Villa at home
Bristol away
Wolves at home
Derby away

Bristol City

Sunderland at home
Leeds away
Fulham at home
Cardiff away
Wednesday at home

Preston

Brentford away
Wolves at home
Villa away
Ipswich at home
Bolton away

That Fulham schedule is quite interesting!!!. All in all, there may be a lot of slip-ups during this period, it's just a matter of who can rise to the occasion and get the most out of this spell. After the Fulham game we will have faced every side in the top eleven away from home. So that's gonna be a huge bonus for us with fourteen games to go.

by AstonThriller Wed Feb 07, 2018 6:41 pm

deadbuzzardalive wrote:Just realised there's only 48 points to play for, it seems a lot but even if we were to win every match that would put us on 104 points, usually a points haul in the late 80's early 90's is what's needed for second place; I guess we need another 12 wins out of the remaining 16 fixtures at least, maybe 13, so we can't really afford many slip ups at all.

Four games in just a fortnight coming up, which really could make or break our season, need to keep the running going starting on Sunday.

This is where squad depth comes into play. And I don't think anyone else in the division has it better than us. Even those melons "Benfica Wanderers" don't have it as good Very Happy

.

by **De Kuip** Wed Feb 07, 2018 6:55 pm

AstonThriller wrote:
deadbuzzardalive wrote:Just realised there's only 48 points to play for, it seems a lot but even if we were to win every match that would put us on 104 points, usually a points haul in the late 80's early 90's is what's needed for second place; I guess we need another 12 wins out of the remaining 16 fixtures at least, maybe 13, so we can't really afford many slip ups at all.

Four games in just a fortnight coming up, which really could make or break our season, need to keep the running going starting on Sunday.

This is where squad depth comes into play. And I don't think anyone else in the division has it better than us. Even those melons "Benfica Wanderers" don't have it as good .

Be funny if the Tesco bags get relegated and us and the dingles go up though.

by deadbuzzardalive Fri Feb 09, 2018 8:13 pm

Cardiff doing to Milwall want we couldn't do - beating them, and in the process have moved above us in the league. I'm starting to think we'll never get into the automatic promotion places, I mean win six on the bounce, but still only fourth, that tells us something.

by smetro Fri Feb 09, 2018 9:30 pm

Derby player winnal out for the rest of the season. 3rd top scorer for them

by Saunders82 Fri Feb 09, 2018 9:41 pm

Cardiff draw so we are still 3rd but they have the game in hand, need to keep the pressure on with a win on Sunday.

by smetro Fri Feb 09, 2018 9:48 pm

Saunders82 wrote:Cardiff draw so we are still 3rd but they have the game in hand, need to keep the pressure on with a win on Sunday.

Sundays going to be a bloodbath - as well as 3 points, we need to avoid red cards and season ending injuries.....its going to be a naughty one folks

by **De Kuip** Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:52 am

smetro wrote:
Saunders82 wrote:Cardiff draw so we are still 3rd but they have the game in hand, need to keep the pressure on with a win on Sunday.

Sundays going to be a bloodbath - as well as 3 points, we need to avoid red cards and season ending injuries.....its going to be a naughty one folks

A home derby full of hatred and noise, tension and pressure with c42,000 packing out Villa Park is something to behold. For some of the Villa players it's a first time event, but for Tuanzebe and Grabban who have only just joined, I bet they'll be sitting on the bench thinking"Fuck me this is wild!" haha.
We get a win on Sunday I think the roof of the Holte will come off. Scarf Waving

Promotion discussion thread - Page 10 1815562058

by The Utterer Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:16 pm

Well i certainly didn't expect those results today! Bristol giving up a 3 goal lead at home to Sunderland and both Fulham & Derby surrendering leads against teams you would have to expect them to beat.

Ditto Cardiff of course against Millwall last night.

So an unexpected opportunity to grab that 2nd spot but in reality it also means if we do draw we have held our position.

Fingers crossed we find a way to make it 7 on the bounce which would be some feat!

by DelboyVilla Sun Feb 11, 2018 8:44 am

I think if we stay calm and don't get involved in their dirty tricks then we will win this easily? However life as a Villan is never that straight forward?

by achilles Mon Feb 12, 2018 1:45 pm

A weekly update:

Wolves

QPR at home...............w2 - 1
Preston away
Norwich at home
Fulham away
Reading at home

Derby

Norwich at home........d1 - 1
Wednesday away
Leeds at home
Reading away
Fulham at home

Villa

Birmingham at home.....w2 - 0
Fulham away
Preston at home
Wednesday away
QPR at home

Cardiff

Millwall away...........d1 - 1
Bolton at home
Boro at home
Ipswich away
Bristol at home

Fulham

Bolton away.........d1 - 1
Villa at home
Bristol away
Wolves at home
Derby away

Bristol City

Sunderland at home.......d3 - 3
Leeds away
Fulham at home
Cardiff away
Wednesday at home

Preston

Brentford away.......d1 - 1
Wolves at home
Villa away
Ipswich at home
Bolton away

by Guest Mon Feb 12, 2018 1:47 pm

Next match will be difficult. Possibly the hardest remaining match we got.

by Gordonsleftboot Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:26 pm

Joppe84 wrote:Next match will be difficult. Possibly the hardest remaining match we got.

True, though Wolves at home looks maybe harder? Interesting to see that Wolves still have Cardiff and Fulham away, plus Derby at home. IF we beat Wolves at home, there could be just 8 points between us and it's strange what can happen as gaps close.

by Sponsored content